Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000930 0.001056 0.001189 0.001339 0.001504 0.001678 0.001877
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000697 0.000867 0.001058 0.001288 0.001555 0.001854 0.002213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000577 0.000763 0.000982 0.001257 0.001589 0.001973 0.002448
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000496 0.000694 0.000937 0.001252 0.001645 0.002113 0.002707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000435 0.000640 0.000902 0.001251 0.001699 0.002245 0.002953
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000380 0.000587 0.000860 0.001236 0.001731 0.002347 0.003161
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000331 0.000537 0.000817 0.001213 0.001747 0.002426 0.003340
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000306 0.000516 0.000811 0.001239 0.001826 0.002585 0.003621
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000282 0.000495 0.000803 0.001259 0.001896 0.002733 0.003891
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000249 0.000458 0.000768 0.001239 0.001909 0.002805 0.004062
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000220 0.000423 0.000733 0.001214 0.001914 0.002864 0.004214
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000405 0.000722 0.001225 0.001969 0.002990 0.004458
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000187 0.000389 0.000714 0.001240 0.002029 0.003128 0.004724
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000164 0.000357 0.000678 0.001209 0.002022 0.003170 0.004859
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000326 0.000641 0.001174 0.002006 0.003199 0.004975
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000308 0.000624 0.001171 0.002037 0.003294 0.005184
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000293 0.000610 0.001170 0.002070 0.003392 0.005398
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000274 0.000589 0.001156 0.002082 0.003459 0.005570
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000254 0.000564 0.001134 0.002081 0.003505 0.005709
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000249 0.000566 0.001158 0.002152 0.003661 0.006013
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000243 0.000566 0.001177 0.002216 0.003806 0.006302
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000227 0.000544 0.001158 0.002217 0.003855 0.006450
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000210 0.000521 0.001135 0.002209 0.003891 0.006578